Assange rape claims?
The evidence suggests it is highly unlikely they are true.
Most rape victims don't tweet about how it's "amazing" to hang out with "cool" and "smart" people after being raped, or throw a party for their rapist.
http://rixstep.com/1/20101001,01.shtml
Nor do they usually invite their rapist to stay at their house 4 days after the rape.
http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2010/12/crayfishpartiesandbrokenco.html
It's also a rather implausible coincidence that after these events, the rape charge only surfaced after
a) Assange failed to call either Anna Ardin or Miss W. back and
b) Ardin and W each discovered he was sleeping with the other one.
I think the story itself justifies a very low probability of being true - in my estimation, probably considerably less than 1%.